Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 9 · Saturday 31 October · 17:30 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
Our prediction: Tottenham 1-0
Expected goals: Tottenham 1.34, Crystal Palace 1.32 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Tottenham Hotspur host Crystal Palace on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 17:30 UK time. The model sees little between them: Tottenham 38%, Crystal Palace 36%, with the draw at 26%. Tottenham are 20th on 3 points and have won 0 of their last 5; Crystal Palace are 14th on 7, with 2 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Tottenham create 1.1 expected goals a game and allow 1.4; Crystal Palace create 1.3 and allow 2.1. Tottenham's goal difference is 4 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Pedro Porro, Sávio.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Tottenham 1-1 Crystal Palace | 12.4% |
| Tottenham 1-0 Crystal Palace | 9.3% |
| Tottenham 0-1 Crystal Palace | 9.2% |
| Tottenham 2-1 Crystal Palace | 8.3% |
| Tottenham 1-2 Crystal Palace | 8.2% |
| Tottenham 0-0 Crystal Palace | 6.9% |
Form and season so far
| Tottenham | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 14th |
| Points (games) | 3 (6) | 7 (7) |
| Goals for / against | 3 / 9 | 9 / 17 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.11 / 1.43 | 1.35 / 2.11 |
| Last five | LDDLD | WLDWL |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
- Pedro Porro: Hamstring injury - Expected back 24 Oct
- Sávio: Muscular injury - Expected back 7 Nov
- Henderson: Foot injury - 50% chance of playing
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
-
On penalties: Solanke
-
On penalties: Mateta
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.