Home›Premier League›Predictions›Newcastle vs Everton

Data updated

← All Premier League predictions

Newcastle vs Everton Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 9 · Monday 2 November · 20:00 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?

Newcastle 37%
25%
Everton 38%

Our prediction: Everton 2-1

Expected goals: Newcastle 1.42, Everton 1.43 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).

Newcastle United host Everton on Monday 2 November, kick-off 20:00 UK time. The model sees little between them: Newcastle 37%, Everton 38%, with the draw at 25%. Newcastle are 11th on 8 points and have won 1 of their last 5; Everton are 8th on 10, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Newcastle create 1.2 expected goals a game and allow 1.7; Everton create 1.3 and allow 1.4. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Elanga.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Newcastle 1-1 Everton11.7%
Newcastle 1-2 Everton8.4%
Newcastle 2-1 Everton8.3%
Newcastle 0-1 Everton8.2%
Newcastle 1-0 Everton8.2%
Newcastle 2-2 Everton6.0%
Both teams score
58%
3+ goals
54%
Newcastle clean sheet
24%
Everton clean sheet
24%

Form and season so far

NewcastleEverton
League position11th8th
Points (games)8 (7)10 (7)
Goals for / against10 / 148 / 7
xG for / against a game1.16 / 1.741.32 / 1.39
Last fiveDLWLLDDWDL

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Newcastle
  • Elanga: Unspecified injury - Expected back 25 Oct
Everton

No flags in FPL.

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Newcastle

-

On penalties: Osula

Everton

-

On penalties: Barry

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
The model gives Newcastle United a 37% chance, Everton 38%, and the draw 25%.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Everton?
Our pick is Everton 2-1. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (12%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Newcastle vs Everton?
Monday 2 November at 20:00 UK time, Gameweek 9 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Everton?
The model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and three or more goals at 54%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.