Man City vs Brighton Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 9 · Saturday 31 October · 15:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Man City vs Brighton?
Our prediction: Man City 2-1
Expected goals: Man City 2.05, Brighton 1.83 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Manchester City host Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model makes Man City favourites at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Man City are 1st on 21 points and have won 5 of their last 5; Brighton are 3rd on 16, with 4 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Man City create 2.2 expected goals a game and allow 1.4; Brighton create 2.2 and allow 1.5. Brighton's goal difference is 13 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Semenyo.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Man City 2-1 Brighton | 7.9% |
| Man City 1-1 Brighton | 7.7% |
| Man City 2-2 Brighton | 7.3% |
| Man City 1-2 Brighton | 7.1% |
| Man City 3-1 Brighton | 5.4% |
| Man City 3-2 Brighton | 5.0% |
Form and season so far
| Man City | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 3rd |
| Points (games) | 21 (7) | 16 (7) |
| Goals for / against | 19 / 7 | 23 / 5 |
| xG for / against a game | 2.20 / 1.44 | 2.18 / 1.45 |
| Last five | WWWWW | DWWWW |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: Haaland
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On penalties: Groß
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.