Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 9 · Sunday 1 November · 16:30 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Our prediction: Arsenal 2-1
Expected goals: Liverpool 1.49, Arsenal 1.72 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Liverpool host Arsenal on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 16:30 UK time. The model makes Arsenal favourites at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Liverpool are 5th on 12 points and have won 3 of their last 5; Arsenal are 2nd on 18, with 4 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Liverpool create 1.6 expected goals a game and allow 1.2; Arsenal create 1.7 and allow 0.8. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Szoboszlai, Frimpong, Tzolis, Hincapie.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal | 10.3% |
| Liverpool 1-2 Arsenal | 8.9% |
| Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal | 7.7% |
| Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal | 7.0% |
| Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal | 6.6% |
| Liverpool 0-2 Arsenal | 6.0% |
Form and season so far
| Liverpool | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 2nd |
| Points (games) | 12 (7) | 18 (7) |
| Goals for / against | 9 / 8 | 11 / 5 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.57 / 1.18 | 1.71 / 0.79 |
| Last five | WDWLW | WWLWW |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
- Szoboszlai: Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Frimpong: Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
-
On penalties: Szoboszlai
-
On penalties: Saka
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.