Chelsea vs Man United Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 9 · Saturday 31 October · 12:30 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Chelsea vs Man United?
Our prediction: Chelsea 2-1
Expected goals: Chelsea 1.76, Man United 1.74 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Chelsea host Manchester United on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 12:30 UK time. The model sees little between them: Chelsea 39%, Man United 38%, with the draw at 22%. Chelsea are 4th on 13 points and have won 2 of their last 5; Man United are 13th on 7, with 0 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Chelsea create 1.4 expected goals a game and allow 1.5; Man United create 1.7 and allow 1.4. Chelsea's goal difference is 5 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Martinez, James, Šeško.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Chelsea 1-1 Man United | 9.2% |
| Chelsea 2-1 Man United | 8.1% |
| Chelsea 1-2 Man United | 8.0% |
| Chelsea 2-2 Man United | 7.1% |
| Chelsea 1-0 Man United | 5.3% |
| Chelsea 0-1 Man United | 5.3% |
Form and season so far
| Chelsea | Man United | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 13th |
| Points (games) | 13 (7) | 7 (7) |
| Goals for / against | 17 / 13 | 10 / 10 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.43 / 1.52 | 1.71 / 1.40 |
| Last five | LDLWW | DLDDD |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: Palmer
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On penalties: B.Fernandes
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.