Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 9 · Saturday 31 October · 15:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction: Brentford 2-1
Expected goals: Brentford 1.56, Nottingham Forest 1.55 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Brentford host Nottingham Forest on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model sees little between them: Brentford 38%, Nottingham Forest 38%, with the draw at 24%. Brentford are 6th on 10 points and have won 1 of their last 5; Nottingham Forest are 18th on 5, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Brentford create 1.7 expected goals a game and allow 1.5; Nottingham Forest create 1.7 and allow 1.2. Nottingham Forest's goal difference is 7 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Janelt, Furo, Yarmoliuk, Igor Jesus.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Brentford 1-1 Nottingham Forest | 10.8% |
| Brentford 2-1 Nottingham Forest | 8.4% |
| Brentford 1-2 Nottingham Forest | 8.4% |
| Brentford 1-0 Nottingham Forest | 6.9% |
| Brentford 0-1 Nottingham Forest | 6.9% |
| Brentford 2-2 Nottingham Forest | 6.5% |
Form and season so far
| Brentford | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 18th |
| Points (games) | 10 (7) | 5 (7) |
| Goals for / against | 13 / 8 | 5 / 9 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.74 / 1.46 | 1.68 / 1.19 |
| Last five | DDWDL | DWLLL |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
- Gibbs-White: Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing
- Igor Jesus: Calf injury - Unknown return date
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: Thiago
-
On penalties: Gibbs-White
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.