Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 9 · Saturday 31 October · 15:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Our prediction: Bournemouth 2-1
Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.67, Leeds 1.33 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
AFC Bournemouth host Leeds United on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model makes Bournemouth favourites at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Bournemouth are 15th on 6 points and have won 1 of their last 5; Leeds are 7th on 10, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Bournemouth create 1.8 expected goals a game and allow 1.2; Leeds create 1.4 and allow 1.4. Bournemouth's goal difference is 8 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Scott, Rodon.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Bournemouth 1-1 Leeds | 11.1% |
| Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds | 9.2% |
| Bournemouth 1-0 Leeds | 8.3% |
| Bournemouth 1-2 Leeds | 7.4% |
| Bournemouth 2-0 Leeds | 6.9% |
| Bournemouth 0-1 Leeds | 6.7% |
Form and season so far
| Bournemouth | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 7th |
| Points (games) | 6 (7) | 10 (7) |
| Goals for / against | 9 / 13 | 9 / 6 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.77 / 1.16 | 1.43 / 1.39 |
| Last five | DDLLW | DWDLD |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
-
On penalties: Kroupi.Jr
-
On penalties: Calvert-Lewin
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds?
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Leeds?
When is Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Leeds?
More Premier League
Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.