Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 8 · Sunday 25 October · 16:30 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?

Sunderland 36%

26%

Leeds 38%

Our prediction: Leeds 1-0

Expected goals: Sunderland 1.29, Leeds 1.32.

Sunderland host Leeds United on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 16:30 UK time. The model sees little between them: Sunderland 36%, Leeds 38%, with the draw at 26%. Sunderland are 19th on 4 points and have won 0 of their last 5; Leeds are 7th on 10, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Sunderland create 1.5 expected goals a game and allow 2.0; Leeds create 1.4 and allow 1.4. Sunderland's goal difference is 4 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Ballard, Rodon.

Most likely scores

Score	Chance
Sunderland 1-1 Leeds	12.5%
Sunderland 0-1 Leeds	9.7%
Sunderland 1-0 Leeds	9.5%
Sunderland 1-2 Leeds	8.3%
Sunderland 2-1 Leeds	8.1%
Sunderland 0-0 Leeds	7.4%

Both teams score

53%

3+ goals

48%

Sunderland clean sheet

27%

Leeds clean sheet

28%

Form and season so far

	Sunderland	Leeds
League position	19th	7th
Points (games)	4 (7)	10 (7)
Goals for / against	6 / 14	9 / 6
xG for / against a game	1.52 / 2.04	1.43 / 1.39
Last five	DLLLL	DWDLD

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Sunderland

Brobbey: Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
Ballard: Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
Isidor: Knock - 50% chance of playing

Leeds

Rodon: Hamstring injury - Expected back 21 Nov

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Sunderland

E.Le Fée MID · 5.2 projected FPL points
Xhaka MID · 3.8 projected FPL points
Sadiki MID · 3.3 projected FPL points

On penalties: Diarra

Leeds

Stach MID · 4.7 projected FPL points
Calvert-Lewin FWD · 4.6 projected FPL points
Bogle DEF · 3.6 projected FPL points

On penalties: Calvert-Lewin

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?

The model gives Sunderland a 36% chance, Leeds United 38%, and the draw 26%.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Leeds?

Our pick is Leeds 1-0. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (13%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.

When is Sunderland vs Leeds?

Sunday 25 October at 16:30 UK time, Gameweek 8 of the Premier League.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Leeds?

The model puts both teams scoring at 53%, and three or more goals at 48%.

Sunderland → Leeds → FPL Gameweek 8 guide →

More Premier League

Premier League table →Fixtures →Results →Predicted final table →Match predictions →Top scorers →Golden Boot predictor → All 20 clubs →

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.