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Man United vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 8 · Sunday 25 October · 14:00 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Man United vs Bournemouth?

Man United 45%
24%
Bournemouth 31%

Our prediction: Man United 2-1

Expected goals: Man United 1.68, Bournemouth 1.38.

Manchester United host AFC Bournemouth on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 14:00 UK time. The model makes Man United favourites at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Man United are 13th on 7 points and have won 0 of their last 5; Bournemouth are 15th on 6, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Man United create 1.7 expected goals a game and allow 1.4; Bournemouth create 1.8 and allow 1.2. Bournemouth's goal difference is 8 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Šeško, Scott.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Man United 1-1 Bournemouth10.9%
Man United 2-1 Bournemouth9.1%
Man United 1-0 Bournemouth7.9%
Man United 1-2 Bournemouth7.5%
Man United 2-0 Bournemouth6.6%
Man United 0-1 Bournemouth6.5%
Both teams score
61%
3+ goals
59%
Man United clean sheet
25%
Bournemouth clean sheet
19%

Form and season so far

Man UnitedBournemouth
League position13th15th
Points (games)7 (7)6 (7)
Goals for / against10 / 109 / 13
xG for / against a game1.71 / 1.401.77 / 1.16
Last fiveDLDDDDDLLW

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Man United
  • Shaw: Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Mainoo: Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Martinez: Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Šeško: Shin injury - Expected back 18 Oct
Bournemouth
  • Scott: Thigh injury - Unknown return date

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Man United

On penalties: B.Fernandes

Bournemouth
  • Tavernier MID · 5.7 projected FPL points
  • Evanilson FWD · 4.9 projected FPL points
  • Rayan MID · 3.8 projected FPL points

On penalties: Kroupi.Jr

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Man United vs Bournemouth?
The model gives Manchester United a 45% chance, AFC Bournemouth 31%, and the draw 24%.
What is the predicted score for Man United vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Man United 2-1. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (11%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Man United vs Bournemouth?
Sunday 25 October at 14:00 UK time, Gameweek 8 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Man United vs Bournemouth?
The model puts both teams scoring at 61%, and three or more goals at 59%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.