Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 8 · Sunday 25 October · 14:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
Our prediction: Liverpool 2-1
Expected goals: Liverpool 1.68, Brighton 1.48.
Liverpool host Brighton & Hove Albion on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 14:00 UK time. The model makes Liverpool favourites at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Liverpool are 5th on 12 points and have won 3 of their last 5; Brighton are 3rd on 16, with 4 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Liverpool create 1.6 expected goals a game and allow 1.2; Brighton create 2.2 and allow 1.5. Brighton's goal difference is 13 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Szoboszlai, Frimpong.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Liverpool 1-1 Brighton | 10.6% |
| Liverpool 2-1 Brighton | 8.9% |
| Liverpool 1-2 Brighton | 7.8% |
| Liverpool 1-0 Brighton | 7.2% |
| Liverpool 2-2 Brighton | 6.5% |
| Liverpool 0-1 Brighton | 6.3% |
Form and season so far
| Liverpool | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 3rd |
| Points (games) | 12 (7) | 16 (7) |
| Goals for / against | 9 / 8 | 23 / 5 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.57 / 1.18 | 2.18 / 1.45 |
| Last five | WDWLW | DWWWW |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
- Szoboszlai: Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Frimpong: Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
No flags in FPL.
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.