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Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 8 · Sunday 25 October · 14:00 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?

Crystal Palace 36%
25%
Newcastle 39%

Our prediction: Newcastle 2-1

Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.38, Newcastle 1.46.

Crystal Palace host Newcastle United on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 14:00 UK time. The model sees little between them: Crystal Palace 36%, Newcastle 39%, with the draw at 25%. Crystal Palace are 14th on 7 points and have won 2 of their last 5; Newcastle are 11th on 8, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Crystal Palace create 1.3 expected goals a game and allow 2.1; Newcastle create 1.2 and allow 1.7. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Elanga.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle11.8%
Crystal Palace 1-2 Newcastle8.6%
Crystal Palace 0-1 Newcastle8.6%
Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle8.1%
Crystal Palace 1-0 Newcastle8.1%
Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle6.3%
Both teams score
57%
3+ goals
54%
Crystal Palace clean sheet
23%
Newcastle clean sheet
25%

Form and season so far

Crystal PalaceNewcastle
League position14th11th
Points (games)7 (7)8 (7)
Goals for / against9 / 1710 / 14
xG for / against a game1.35 / 2.111.16 / 1.74
Last fiveWLDWLDLWLL

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Crystal Palace
  • Henderson: Foot injury - 50% chance of playing
Newcastle
  • Elanga: Unspecified injury - Expected back 25 Oct

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Crystal Palace

On penalties: Mateta

Newcastle
  • Barnes MID · 4.7 projected FPL points
  • Willock MID · 4.7 projected FPL points
  • Wissa FWD · 4.1 projected FPL points

On penalties: Osula

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The model gives Crystal Palace a 36% chance, Newcastle United 39%, and the draw 25%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Our pick is Newcastle 2-1. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (12%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Sunday 25 October at 14:00 UK time, Gameweek 8 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and three or more goals at 54%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.