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Coventry vs Sunderland Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 9 · Saturday 31 October · 15:00 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?

Coventry 36%
25%
Sunderland 39%

Our prediction: Sunderland 2-1

Expected goals: Coventry 1.41, Sunderland 1.47 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).

Coventry City host Sunderland on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model sees little between them: Coventry 36%, Sunderland 39%, with the draw at 25%. Coventry are 16th on 6 points and have won 2 of their last 5; Sunderland are 19th on 4, with 0 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Coventry create 1.1 expected goals a game and allow 1.7; Sunderland create 1.5 and allow 2.0. Sunderland's goal difference is 4 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Amenda, Ballard.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Coventry 1-1 Sunderland11.6%
Coventry 1-2 Sunderland8.6%
Coventry 0-1 Sunderland8.2%
Coventry 2-1 Sunderland8.2%
Coventry 1-0 Sunderland7.9%
Coventry 0-2 Sunderland6.1%
Both teams score
58%
3+ goals
55%
Coventry clean sheet
23%
Sunderland clean sheet
24%

Form and season so far

CoventrySunderland
League position16th19th
Points (games)6 (6)4 (7)
Goals for / against5 / 116 / 14
xG for / against a game1.07 / 1.751.52 / 2.04
Last fiveLLLWWDLLLL

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Coventry
  • Amenda: Calf injury - Unknown return date
Sunderland
  • Brobbey: Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Ballard: Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
  • Isidor: Knock - 50% chance of playing

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Coventry

-

On penalties: Rudoni

Sunderland

-

On penalties: Diarra

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?
The model gives Coventry City a 36% chance, Sunderland 39%, and the draw 25%.
What is the predicted score for Coventry vs Sunderland?
Our pick is Sunderland 2-1. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (12%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Coventry vs Sunderland?
Saturday 31 October at 15:00 UK time, Gameweek 9 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Coventry vs Sunderland?
The model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and three or more goals at 55%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.