Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 8 · Saturday 24 October · 17:30 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our prediction: Chelsea 2-1
Expected goals: Chelsea 1.80, Tottenham 1.17.
Chelsea host Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 17:30 UK time. The model makes Chelsea favourites at 52%, with the draw at 23%. Chelsea are 4th on 13 points and have won 2 of their last 5; Tottenham are 20th on 3, with 0 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Chelsea create 1.4 expected goals a game and allow 1.5; Tottenham create 1.1 and allow 1.4. Chelsea's goal difference is 5 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Martinez, James, Pedro Porro, Sávio.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Chelsea 1-1 Tottenham | 10.8% |
| Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham | 9.7% |
| Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham | 9.3% |
| Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham | 8.3% |
| Chelsea 1-2 Tottenham | 6.3% |
| Chelsea 0-1 Tottenham | 6.0% |
Form and season so far
| Chelsea | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 20th |
| Points (games) | 13 (7) | 3 (6) |
| Goals for / against | 17 / 13 | 3 / 9 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.43 / 1.52 | 1.11 / 1.43 |
| Last five | LDLWW | LDDLD |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
- Pedro Porro: Hamstring injury - Expected back 24 Oct
- Sávio: Muscular injury - Expected back 7 Nov
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.