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Arsenal vs Everton Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 8 · Saturday 24 October · 15:00 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?

Arsenal 61%
22%
17%

Our prediction: Arsenal 1-0

Expected goals: Arsenal 1.91, Everton 0.90.

Arsenal host Everton on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model makes Arsenal favourites at 61%, with the draw at 22%. Arsenal are 2nd on 18 points and have won 4 of their last 5; Everton are 8th on 10, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Arsenal create 1.7 expected goals a game and allow 0.8; Everton create 1.3 and allow 1.4. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Tzolis, Hincapie.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Arsenal 1-0 Everton11.6%
Arsenal 2-0 Everton11.0%
Arsenal 1-1 Everton10.3%
Arsenal 2-1 Everton9.9%
Arsenal 3-0 Everton7.0%
Arsenal 3-1 Everton6.3%
Both teams score
50%
3+ goals
53%
Arsenal clean sheet
41%
Everton clean sheet
15%

Form and season so far

ArsenalEverton
League position2nd8th
Points (games)18 (7)10 (7)
Goals for / against11 / 58 / 7
xG for / against a game1.71 / 0.791.32 / 1.39
Last fiveWWLWWDDWDL

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Arsenal
  • Tzolis: Hamstring injury - Expected back 1 Nov
  • Hincapie: Ankle injury - Expected back 24 Oct
Everton

No flags in FPL.

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Arsenal
  • Saka MID · 7.4 projected FPL points
  • Ødegaard MID · 6.1 projected FPL points
  • Calafiori DEF · 4.9 projected FPL points

On penalties: Saka

Everton

On penalties: Barry

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
The model gives Arsenal a 61% chance, Everton 17%, and the draw 22%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Everton?
Our pick is Arsenal 1-0. The single likeliest score is 1-0 (12%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Arsenal vs Everton?
Saturday 24 October at 15:00 UK time, Gameweek 8 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Everton?
The model puts both teams scoring at 50%, and three or more goals at 53%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.