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Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 8 · Friday 23 October · 20:00 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?

Ipswich 33%
25%
Nottingham Forest 42%

Our prediction: Nottingham Forest 1-0

Expected goals: Ipswich 1.32, Nottingham Forest 1.50.

Ipswich Town host Nottingham Forest on Friday 23 October, kick-off 20:00 UK time. The model makes Nottingham Forest favourites at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Ipswich are 10th on 9 points and have won 2 of their last 5; Nottingham Forest are 18th on 5, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Ipswich create 1.5 expected goals a game and allow 2.0; Nottingham Forest create 1.7 and allow 1.2. Nottingham Forest's goal difference is 7 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Igor Jesus.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest11.8%
Ipswich 0-1 Nottingham Forest9.0%
Ipswich 1-2 Nottingham Forest8.9%
Ipswich 1-0 Nottingham Forest7.8%
Ipswich 2-1 Nottingham Forest7.8%
Ipswich 0-2 Nottingham Forest6.7%
Both teams score
57%
3+ goals
54%
Ipswich clean sheet
22%
Nottingham Forest clean sheet
27%

Form and season so far

IpswichNottingham Forest
League position10th18th
Points (games)9 (7)5 (7)
Goals for / against11 / 155 / 9
xG for / against a game1.54 / 2.021.68 / 1.19
Last fiveLWLWLDWLLL

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Ipswich

No flags in FPL.

Nottingham Forest

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Ipswich
  • Enciso MID · 4.3 projected FPL points
  • Emersonn FWD · 4.0 projected FPL points
  • Maeda MID · 3.7 projected FPL points

On penalties: Clarke

Nottingham Forest
  • Ndoye MID · 4.6 projected FPL points
  • Schlager MID · 4.0 projected FPL points
  • McAtee MID · 3.9 projected FPL points

On penalties: Gibbs-White

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
The model gives Ipswich Town a 33% chance, Nottingham Forest 42%, and the draw 25%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
Our pick is Nottingham Forest 1-0. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (12%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
Friday 23 October at 20:00 UK time, Gameweek 8 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
The model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and three or more goals at 54%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.