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Sunderland vs Tottenham Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 12 · Sunday 29 November · 14:05 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Sunderland vs Tottenham?

Sunderland 34%
Draw 31%
Tottenham 35%

Our prediction: Tottenham 1-0

Expected goals: Sunderland 0.99, Tottenham 0.99 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).

Sunderland host Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday 29 November, kick-off 14:05 UK time. The model sees little between them: Sunderland 34%, Tottenham 35%, with the draw at 31%. Sunderland are 19th on 8 points and have won 1 of their last 5; Tottenham are 11th on 12, with 3 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Sunderland create 1.6 expected goals a game and allow 1.6; Tottenham create 1.2 and allow 1.2. Sunderland's goal difference is 8 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Ballard.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Sunderland 0-0 Tottenham13.8%
Sunderland 0-1 Tottenham13.7%
Sunderland 1-0 Tottenham13.7%
Sunderland 1-1 Tottenham13.5%
Sunderland 0-2 Tottenham6.8%
Sunderland 2-0 Tottenham6.7%
Both teams score
39%
3+ goals
32%
Sunderland clean sheet
37%
Tottenham clean sheet
37%

Form and season so far

SunderlandTottenham
League position19th11th
Points (games)8 (10)12 (10)
Goals for / against8 / 1710 / 11
xG for / against a game1.57 / 1.641.24 / 1.19
Last fiveLLDLWDWWWL

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Sunderland
  • Xhaka: Calf injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Ballard: Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
Tottenham
  • Tel: Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Sunderland

-

On penalties: Diarra

Tottenham

-

On penalties: Solanke

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Sunderland vs Tottenham?
The model gives Sunderland a 34% chance, Tottenham Hotspur 35%, and the draw 31%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Tottenham?
Our pick is Tottenham 1-0. The single likeliest score is 0-0 (14%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Sunderland vs Tottenham?
Sunday 29 November at 14:05 UK time, Gameweek 12 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Tottenham?
The model puts both teams scoring at 39%, and three or more goals at 32%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.