Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 10 · Sunday 8 November · 14:00 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Sunderland 38%

24%

Chelsea 38%

Our prediction: Sunderland 2-1

Expected goals: Sunderland 1.55, Chelsea 1.54 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).

Sunderland host Chelsea on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 14:00 UK time. The model sees little between them: Sunderland 38%, Chelsea 38%, with the draw at 24%. Sunderland are 20th on 4 points and have won 0 of their last 5; Chelsea are 4th on 13, with 2 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Sunderland create 1.5 expected goals a game and allow 2.0; Chelsea create 1.4 and allow 1.5. Chelsea's goal difference is 5 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Ballard, Martinez, James.

Most likely scores

Score	Chance
Sunderland 1-1 Chelsea	10.8%
Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea	8.4%
Sunderland 1-2 Chelsea	8.4%
Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea	7.0%
Sunderland 0-1 Chelsea	7.0%
Sunderland 2-2 Chelsea	6.5%

Both teams score

62%

3+ goals

60%

Sunderland clean sheet

21%

Chelsea clean sheet

21%

Form and season so far

	Sunderland	Chelsea
League position	20th	4th
Points (games)	4 (7)	13 (7)
Goals for / against	6 / 14	17 / 13
xG for / against a game	1.52 / 2.04	1.43 / 1.52
Last five	DLLLL	LDLWW

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Sunderland

Brobbey: Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
Ballard: Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
Isidor: Knock - 50% chance of playing

Chelsea

Martinez: Head injury - Unknown return date
James: Knee injury - Unknown return date

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Sunderland

On penalties: Diarra

Chelsea

On penalties: Palmer

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?

The model gives Sunderland a 38% chance, Chelsea 38%, and the draw 24%.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Our pick is Sunderland 2-1. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (11%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.

When is Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Sunday 8 November at 14:00 UK time, Gameweek 10 of the Premier League.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Chelsea?

The model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and three or more goals at 60%.

Sunderland → Chelsea → FPL Gameweek 10 guide →

More Premier League

Premier League table →Fixtures →Results →Predicted final table →Match predictions →Top scorers →Golden Boot predictor → All 20 clubs →

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.