Nottingham Forest vs Man City Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 10 · Saturday 7 November · 17:30 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Man City?
Our prediction: Nottingham Forest 2-1
Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 1.83, Man City 1.40 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Nottingham Forest host Manchester City on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 17:30 UK time. The model makes Nottingham Forest favourites at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Nottingham Forest are 16th on 6 points and have won 1 of their last 5; Man City are 1st on 21, with 5 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Nottingham Forest create 1.8 expected goals a game and allow 1.1; Man City create 2.2 and allow 1.4. Nottingham Forest's goal difference is 9 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Igor Jesus, Semenyo.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest 1-1 Man City | 10.1% |
| Nottingham Forest 2-1 Man City | 9.3% |
| Nottingham Forest 1-0 Man City | 7.2% |
| Nottingham Forest 1-2 Man City | 7.1% |
| Nottingham Forest 2-0 Man City | 6.6% |
| Nottingham Forest 2-2 Man City | 6.5% |
Form and season so far
| Nottingham Forest | Man City | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 1st |
| Points (games) | 6 (8) | 21 (7) |
| Goals for / against | 6 / 10 | 19 / 7 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.76 / 1.10 | 2.20 / 1.44 |
| Last five | WLLLD | WWWWW |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
- Igor Jesus: Calf injury - Unknown return date
- Semenyo: Knee injury - Unknown return date
- O'Reilly: Back injury - 75% chance of playing
- Matheus N.: Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
-
On penalties: Gibbs-White
-
On penalties: Haaland
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.