Man United vs Brentford Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 12 · Saturday 28 November · 15:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Man United vs Brentford?
Our prediction: Brentford 1-0
Expected goals: Man United 1.37, Brentford 1.42 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Manchester United host Brentford on Saturday 28 November, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model sees little between them: Man United 36%, Brentford 38%, with the draw at 25%. Man United are 18th on 8 points and have won 0 of their last 5; Brentford are 8th on 14, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Man United create 1.8 expected goals a game and allow 1.8; Brentford create 1.5 and allow 1.5. Man United's goal difference is 5 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Shaw, Šeško, Rashford, Thiago.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Man United 1-1 Brentford | 12.0% |
| Man United 0-1 Brentford | 8.7% |
| Man United 1-2 Brentford | 8.5% |
| Man United 1-0 Brentford | 8.4% |
| Man United 2-1 Brentford | 8.2% |
| Man United 0-2 Brentford | 6.2% |
Form and season so far
| Man United | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 8th |
| Points (games) | 8 (10) | 14 (10) |
| Goals for / against | 14 / 19 | 16 / 11 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.80 / 1.79 | 1.49 / 1.48 |
| Last five | DDLLD | DLDWL |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: B.Fernandes
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On penalties: Thiago
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.