Home›Premier League›Predictions›Man United vs Aston Villa

Data updated

← All Premier League predictions

Man United vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 10 · Sunday 8 November · 16:30 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Man United vs Aston Villa?

Man United 43%
27%
Aston Villa 31%

Our prediction: Man United 1-0

Expected goals: Man United 1.38, Aston Villa 1.13 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).

Manchester United host Aston Villa on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 16:30 UK time. The model makes Man United favourites at 43%, with the draw at 27%. Man United are 13th on 7 points and have won 0 of their last 5; Aston Villa are 12th on 8, with 2 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Man United create 1.7 expected goals a game and allow 1.4; Aston Villa create 1.2 and allow 1.6. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Shaw, Mainoo, Šeško.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Man United 1-1 Aston Villa12.7%
Man United 1-0 Aston Villa11.3%
Man United 0-1 Aston Villa9.2%
Man United 2-1 Aston Villa8.7%
Man United 0-0 Aston Villa8.2%
Man United 2-0 Aston Villa7.8%
Both teams score
51%
3+ goals
46%
Man United clean sheet
32%
Aston Villa clean sheet
25%

Form and season so far

Man UnitedAston Villa
League position13th12th
Points (games)7 (7)8 (7)
Goals for / against10 / 107 / 11
xG for / against a game1.71 / 1.401.21 / 1.61
Last fiveDLDDDDLWDW

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Man United
  • Shaw: Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
  • Mainoo: Unspecified injury - Expected back 8 Nov
  • Martinez: Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Rashford: Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Šeško: Shin injury - Unknown return date
Aston Villa
  • Manzambi: Calf injury - 75% chance of playing

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Man United

-

On penalties: B.Fernandes

Aston Villa

-

On penalties: Buendía

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Man United vs Aston Villa?
The model gives Manchester United a 43% chance, Aston Villa 31%, and the draw 27%.
What is the predicted score for Man United vs Aston Villa?
Our pick is Man United 1-0. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (13%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Man United vs Aston Villa?
Sunday 8 November at 16:30 UK time, Gameweek 10 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Man United vs Aston Villa?
The model puts both teams scoring at 51%, and three or more goals at 46%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.