Everton vs Liverpool Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 12 · Sunday 29 November · 12:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Everton vs Liverpool?
Our prediction: Liverpool 1-0
Expected goals: Everton 1.19, Liverpool 1.28 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Everton host Liverpool on Sunday 29 November, kick-off 12:00 UK time. The model sees little between them: Everton 34%, Liverpool 39%, with the draw at 27%. Everton are 6th on 16 points and have won 2 of their last 5; Liverpool are 4th on 18, with 3 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Everton create 1.4 expected goals a game and allow 1.4; Liverpool create 1.6 and allow 1.3. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Frimpong.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Everton 1-1 Liverpool | 12.9% |
| Everton 0-1 Liverpool | 10.8% |
| Everton 1-0 Liverpool | 10.0% |
| Everton 0-0 Liverpool | 8.4% |
| Everton 1-2 Liverpool | 8.3% |
| Everton 2-1 Liverpool | 7.7% |
Form and season so far
| Everton | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 4th |
| Points (games) | 16 (10) | 18 (10) |
| Goals for / against | 12 / 10 | 14 / 10 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.38 / 1.42 | 1.59 / 1.32 |
| Last five | DLLWW | LWWLW |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
No flags in FPL.
- Frimpong: Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Gravenberch: Foot injury - 75% chance of playing
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: Barry
-
On penalties: Szoboszlai
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.