Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 11 · Saturday 21 November · 15:00 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds?

Chelsea 39%

24%

Leeds 37%

Our prediction: Chelsea 2-1

Expected goals: Chelsea 1.53, Leeds 1.48 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).

Chelsea host Leeds United on Saturday 21 November, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model sees little between them: Chelsea 39%, Leeds 37%, with the draw at 24%. Chelsea are 4th on 16 points and have won 3 of their last 5; Leeds are 11th on 11, with 0 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Chelsea create 1.5 expected goals a game and allow 1.4; Leeds create 1.3 and allow 1.3. Ruled out on FPL's flags: João Pedro, Lacroix, James, Martinez.

Most likely scores

Score	Chance
Chelsea 1-1 Leeds	11.1%
Chelsea 2-1 Leeds	8.5%
Chelsea 1-2 Leeds	8.3%
Chelsea 1-0 Leeds	7.5%
Chelsea 0-1 Leeds	7.3%
Chelsea 2-2 Leeds	6.3%

Both teams score

61%

3+ goals

58%

Chelsea clean sheet

23%

Leeds clean sheet

22%

Form and season so far

	Chelsea	Leeds
League position	4th	11th
Points (games)	16 (9)	11 (9)
Goals for / against	19 / 15	9 / 8
xG for / against a game	1.49 / 1.40	1.27 / 1.31
Last five	LWWLW	DLDDL

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Chelsea

João Pedro: Thigh injury - Unknown return date
Lacroix: Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
James: Knee injury - Unknown return date
Martinez: Head injury - Unknown return date
Henderson: Illness - 75% chance of playing
Hato: Unspecified injury - Unknown return date

Leeds

No flags in FPL.

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Chelsea

On penalties: Palmer

Leeds

On penalties: Calvert-Lewin

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds?

The model gives Chelsea a 39% chance, Leeds United 37%, and the draw 24%.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Leeds?

Our pick is Chelsea 2-1. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (11%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.

When is Chelsea vs Leeds?

Saturday 21 November at 15:00 UK time, Gameweek 11 of the Premier League.

Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Leeds?

The model puts both teams scoring at 61%, and three or more goals at 58%.

Chelsea → Leeds → FPL Gameweek 11 guide →

More Premier League

Premier League table →Fixtures →Results →Predicted final table →Match predictions →Top scorers →Golden Boot predictor → All 20 clubs →

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.