Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 12 · Sunday 29 November · 14:05 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Brighton vs Newcastle?
Our prediction: Brighton 1-0
Expected goals: Brighton 1.57, Newcastle 1.23 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Brighton & Hove Albion host Newcastle United on Sunday 29 November, kick-off 14:05 UK time. The model makes Brighton favourites at 45%, with the draw at 25%. Brighton are 2nd on 22 points and have won 4 of their last 5; Newcastle are 12th on 12, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Brighton create 2.0 expected goals a game and allow 1.4; Newcastle create 1.2 and allow 1.7. Brighton's goal difference is 13 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Brighton 1-1 Newcastle | 11.7% |
| Brighton 1-0 Newcastle | 9.6% |
| Brighton 2-1 Newcastle | 9.2% |
| Brighton 2-0 Newcastle | 7.5% |
| Brighton 0-1 Newcastle | 7.5% |
| Brighton 1-2 Newcastle | 7.2% |
Form and season so far
| Brighton | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 12th |
| Points (games) | 22 (10) | 12 (10) |
| Goals for / against | 26 / 7 | 13 / 16 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.97 / 1.36 | 1.15 / 1.68 |
| Last five | WWLWW | LLWLD |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
No flags in FPL.
No flags in FPL.
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: Groß
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On penalties: Wissa
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.