Brighton vs Brentford Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 10 · Sunday 8 November · 14:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Brighton vs Brentford?
Our prediction: Brighton 1-0
Expected goals: Brighton 1.51, Brentford 1.32 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Brighton & Hove Albion host Brentford on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 14:00 UK time. The model makes Brighton favourites at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Brighton are 3rd on 16 points and have won 4 of their last 5; Brentford are 6th on 10, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Brighton create 2.2 expected goals a game and allow 1.5; Brentford create 1.7 and allow 1.5. Brighton's goal difference is 13 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Janelt, Furo, Yarmoliuk.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Brighton 1-1 Brentford | 11.8% |
| Brighton 1-0 Brentford | 8.9% |
| Brighton 2-1 Brentford | 8.9% |
| Brighton 0-1 Brentford | 7.8% |
| Brighton 1-2 Brentford | 7.7% |
| Brighton 2-0 Brentford | 6.7% |
Form and season so far
| Brighton | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 6th |
| Points (games) | 16 (7) | 10 (7) |
| Goals for / against | 23 / 5 | 13 / 8 |
| xG for / against a game | 2.18 / 1.45 | 1.74 / 1.46 |
| Last five | DWWWW | DDWDL |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: Groß
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On penalties: Thiago
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.