Brentford vs Everton Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 11 · Monday 23 November · 20:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Brentford vs Everton?
Our prediction: Brentford 1-0
Expected goals: Brentford 1.48, Everton 1.10 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Brentford host Everton on Monday 23 November, kick-off 20:00 UK time. The model makes Brentford favourites at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Brentford are 6th on 14 points and have won 2 of their last 5; Everton are 14th on 10, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Brentford create 1.6 expected goals a game and allow 1.4; Everton create 1.2 and allow 1.5. Brentford's goal difference is 5 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Furo.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Brentford 1-1 Everton | 12.3% |
| Brentford 1-0 Everton | 11.2% |
| Brentford 2-1 Everton | 9.1% |
| Brentford 0-1 Everton | 8.3% |
| Brentford 2-0 Everton | 8.3% |
| Brentford 0-0 Everton | 7.5% |
Form and season so far
| Brentford | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 14th |
| Points (games) | 14 (9) | 10 (8) |
| Goals for / against | 16 / 9 | 8 / 9 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.59 / 1.41 | 1.24 / 1.46 |
| Last five | WDLDW | DWDLL |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
- Furo: Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
- Branthwaite: Concussion - 75% chance of playing
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
-
On penalties: Thiago
-
On penalties: Barry
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.