Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 11 · Saturday 21 November · 15:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction: Bournemouth 1-0
Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.28, Nottingham Forest 1.15 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
AFC Bournemouth host Nottingham Forest on Saturday 21 November, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model makes Bournemouth favourites at 40%, with the draw at 27%. Bournemouth are 7th on 12 points and have won 3 of their last 5; Nottingham Forest are 19th on 6, with 0 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Bournemouth create 1.8 expected goals a game and allow 1.1; Nottingham Forest create 1.7 and allow 1.0. Nottingham Forest's goal difference is 12 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Scott, Igor Jesus.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Bournemouth 1-1 Nottingham Forest | 13.0% |
| Bournemouth 1-0 Nottingham Forest | 11.3% |
| Bournemouth 0-1 Nottingham Forest | 10.1% |
| Bournemouth 0-0 Nottingham Forest | 8.8% |
| Bournemouth 2-1 Nottingham Forest | 8.3% |
| Bournemouth 1-2 Nottingham Forest | 7.4% |
Form and season so far
| Bournemouth | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 19th |
| Points (games) | 12 (9) | 6 (9) |
| Goals for / against | 14 / 13 | 6 / 12 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.76 / 1.11 | 1.66 / 1.03 |
| Last five | LLWWW | LLLDL |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
- Scott: Thigh injury - Expected back 21 Nov
- Igor Jesus: Calf injury - Unknown return date
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
-
On penalties: Kroupi.Jr
-
On penalties: Gibbs-White
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
When is Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
More Premier League
Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.