Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 11 · Saturday 21 November · 15:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Our prediction: Aston Villa 1-0
Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.37, Sunderland 1.15 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Aston Villa host Sunderland on Saturday 21 November, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model makes Aston Villa favourites at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Aston Villa are 9th on 12 points and have won 3 of their last 5; Sunderland are 20th on 5, with 0 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Aston Villa create 1.2 expected goals a game and allow 1.7; Sunderland create 1.5 and allow 1.8. Sunderland's goal difference is 8 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Cash, Ballard.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa 1-1 Sunderland | 12.7% |
| Aston Villa 1-0 Sunderland | 11.0% |
| Aston Villa 0-1 Sunderland | 9.2% |
| Aston Villa 2-1 Sunderland | 8.7% |
| Aston Villa 0-0 Sunderland | 8.0% |
| Aston Villa 2-0 Sunderland | 7.5% |
Form and season so far
| Aston Villa | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 20th |
| Points (games) | 12 (9) | 5 (9) |
| Goals for / against | 10 / 13 | 7 / 17 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.21 / 1.67 | 1.48 / 1.75 |
| Last five | WDWWD | LLLDL |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: Buendía
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On penalties: Diarra
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.