Ipswich vs Aston Villa Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 12 · Saturday 28 November · 17:30 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Ipswich vs Aston Villa?
Our prediction: Ipswich 1-0
Expected goals: Ipswich 1.24, Aston Villa 1.15 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Ipswich Town host Aston Villa on Saturday 28 November, kick-off 17:30 UK time. The model sees little between them: Ipswich 38%, Aston Villa 34%, with the draw at 28%. Ipswich are 14th on 11 points and have won 1 of their last 5; Aston Villa are 10th on 13, with 2 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Ipswich create 1.4 expected goals a game and allow 1.9; Aston Villa create 1.4 and allow 1.9.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Ipswich 1-1 Aston Villa | 13.1% |
| Ipswich 1-0 Aston Villa | 11.4% |
| Ipswich 0-1 Aston Villa | 10.5% |
| Ipswich 0-0 Aston Villa | 9.2% |
| Ipswich 2-1 Aston Villa | 8.1% |
| Ipswich 1-2 Aston Villa | 7.5% |
Form and season so far
| Ipswich | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 10th |
| Points (games) | 11 (10) | 13 (10) |
| Goals for / against | 15 / 20 | 14 / 17 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.35 / 1.94 | 1.38 / 1.86 |
| Last five | WLDDL | DWWDD |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
No flags in FPL.
No flags in FPL.
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: Clarke
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On penalties: Buendía
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.