Hull vs Brighton Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 11 · Sunday 22 November · 14:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Hull vs Brighton?
Our prediction: Brighton 1-0
Expected goals: Hull 1.10, Brighton 1.33 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Hull City host Brighton & Hove Albion on Sunday 22 November, kick-off 14:00 UK time. The model makes Brighton favourites at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Hull are 10th on 11 points and have won 0 of their last 5; Brighton are 3rd on 19, with 4 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Hull create 1.0 expected goals a game and allow 1.5; Brighton create 2.0 and allow 1.4. Brighton's goal difference is 12 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Targett, Crooks.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Hull 1-1 Brighton | 12.9% |
| Hull 0-1 Brighton | 11.7% |
| Hull 1-0 Brighton | 9.6% |
| Hull 0-0 Brighton | 8.8% |
| Hull 1-2 Brighton | 8.6% |
| Hull 0-2 Brighton | 7.8% |
Form and season so far
| Hull | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 3rd |
| Points (games) | 11 (9) | 19 (9) |
| Goals for / against | 11 / 10 | 24 / 7 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.02 / 1.47 | 1.95 / 1.44 |
| Last five | LDLDD | WWWLW |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
- F.Kadıoğlu: Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: McBurnie
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On penalties: Groß
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hull vs Brighton?
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.