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Fulham vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 12 · Sunday 29 November · 14:05 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Fulham 33%
29%
Bournemouth 38%

Our prediction: Bournemouth 1-0

Expected goals: Fulham 1.06, Bournemouth 1.15 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).

Fulham host AFC Bournemouth on Sunday 29 November, kick-off 14:05 UK time. The model sees little between them: Fulham 33%, Bournemouth 38%, with the draw at 29%. Fulham are 15th on 10 points and have won 2 of their last 5; Bournemouth are 7th on 15, with 4 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Fulham create 1.5 expected goals a game and allow 1.4; Bournemouth create 1.8 and allow 1.1. Bournemouth's goal difference is 5 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. FPL lists 1 player as doubtful or injured across the two squads; the details are below.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Fulham 1-1 Bournemouth13.4%
Fulham 0-1 Bournemouth12.6%
Fulham 1-0 Bournemouth11.6%
Fulham 0-0 Bournemouth11.0%
Fulham 1-2 Bournemouth7.7%
Fulham 0-2 Bournemouth7.3%
Both teams score
45%
3+ goals
38%
Fulham clean sheet
32%
Bournemouth clean sheet
35%

Form and season so far

FulhamBournemouth
League position15th7th
Points (games)10 (10)15 (10)
Goals for / against10 / 1216 / 14
xG for / against a game1.46 / 1.391.81 / 1.13
Last fiveLWWDDLWWWW

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Fulham
  • King: Groin injury - 75% chance of playing
Bournemouth

No flags in FPL.

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Fulham

-

On penalties: Gonzalo

Bournemouth

-

On penalties: Kroupi.Jr

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Fulham vs Bournemouth?
The model gives Fulham a 33% chance, AFC Bournemouth 38%, and the draw 29%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Bournemouth 1-0. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (13%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Fulham vs Bournemouth?
Sunday 29 November at 14:05 UK time, Gameweek 12 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Bournemouth?
The model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and three or more goals at 38%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.