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Crystal Palace vs Hull Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 12 · Sunday 29 November · 14:05 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Hull?

Crystal Palace 38%
Draw 31%
Hull 31%

Our prediction: Crystal Palace 1-0

Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.07, Hull 0.92 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).

Crystal Palace host Hull City on Sunday 29 November, kick-off 14:05 UK time. The model makes Crystal Palace favourites at 38%, with the draw at 31%. Crystal Palace are 20th on 7 points and have won 1 of their last 5; Hull are 13th on 11, with 0 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Crystal Palace create 1.4 expected goals a game and allow 2.2; Hull create 1.0 and allow 1.5. Crystal Palace's goal difference is 6 worse than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Mateta, Sarr, Targett.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Crystal Palace 1-0 Hull14.7%
Crystal Palace 0-0 Hull13.8%
Crystal Palace 1-1 Hull13.5%
Crystal Palace 0-1 Hull12.6%
Crystal Palace 2-0 Hull7.8%
Crystal Palace 2-1 Hull7.2%
Both teams score
39%
3+ goals
32%
Crystal Palace clean sheet
40%
Hull clean sheet
34%

Form and season so far

Crystal PalaceHull
League position20th13th
Points (games)7 (10)11 (10)
Goals for / against10 / 2411 / 11
xG for / against a game1.38 / 2.190.95 / 1.45
Last fiveWLLLLDLDDL

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Crystal Palace
  • Mateta: Suspended until 2 Dec
  • Sarr: Groin injury - Expected back 21 Nov
Hull
  • Targett: Ankle injury - Unknown return date

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Crystal Palace

-

On penalties: Mateta

Hull

-

On penalties: McBurnie

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Hull?
The model gives Crystal Palace a 38% chance, Hull City 31%, and the draw 31%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Hull?
Our pick is Crystal Palace 1-0. The single likeliest score is 1-0 (15%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Crystal Palace vs Hull?
Sunday 29 November at 14:05 UK time, Gameweek 12 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Hull?
The model puts both teams scoring at 39%, and three or more goals at 32%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.