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Coventry vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 11 · Saturday 21 November · 15:00 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

Coventry 39%
28%
Crystal Palace 33%

Our prediction: Coventry 1-0

Expected goals: Coventry 1.27, Crystal Palace 1.14 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).

Coventry City host Crystal Palace on Saturday 21 November, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model makes Coventry favourites at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Coventry are 16th on 9 points and have won 3 of their last 5; Crystal Palace are 18th on 7, with 1 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Coventry create 0.9 expected goals a game and allow 1.5; Crystal Palace create 1.2 and allow 2.1. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Mateta, Sarr.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Coventry 1-1 Crystal Palace13.0%
Coventry 1-0 Crystal Palace11.5%
Coventry 0-1 Crystal Palace10.3%
Coventry 0-0 Crystal Palace9.0%
Coventry 2-1 Crystal Palace8.2%
Coventry 1-2 Crystal Palace7.4%
Both teams score
49%
3+ goals
43%
Coventry clean sheet
32%
Crystal Palace clean sheet
28%

Form and season so far

CoventryCrystal Palace
League position16th18th
Points (games)9 (9)7 (9)
Goals for / against9 / 169 / 21
xG for / against a game0.93 / 1.521.24 / 2.14
Last fiveWWLLWDWLLL

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Coventry
  • Thomas: Calf injury - 50% chance of playing
Crystal Palace
  • Mateta: Suspended until 2 Dec
  • Sarr: Groin injury - Expected back 8 Nov
  • Strand Larsen: Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Coventry

-

On penalties: Rudoni

Crystal Palace

-

On penalties: Mateta

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Coventry vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives Coventry City a 39% chance, Crystal Palace 33%, and the draw 28%.
What is the predicted score for Coventry vs Crystal Palace?
Our pick is Coventry 1-0. The single likeliest score is 1-1 (13%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Coventry vs Crystal Palace?
Saturday 21 November at 15:00 UK time, Gameweek 11 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Coventry vs Crystal Palace?
The model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and three or more goals at 43%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.