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Arsenal vs Hull Prediction

Premier League · Gameweek 10 · Saturday 7 November · 15:00 UK

Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.

Who will win Arsenal vs Hull?

Arsenal 51%
27%
22%

Our prediction: Arsenal 1-0

Expected goals: Arsenal 1.44, Hull 0.85 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).

Arsenal host Hull City on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model makes Arsenal favourites at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Arsenal are 2nd on 18 points and have won 4 of their last 5; Hull are 10th on 9, with 0 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Arsenal create 1.7 expected goals a game and allow 0.8; Hull create 1.0 and allow 1.5. Hull's goal difference is 5 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Saka, Tzolis, Mendy, Targett.

Most likely scores

ScoreChance
Arsenal 1-0 Hull14.5%
Arsenal 1-1 Hull12.4%
Arsenal 2-0 Hull10.4%
Arsenal 0-0 Hull10.1%
Arsenal 2-1 Hull8.9%
Arsenal 0-1 Hull8.6%
Both teams score
44%
3+ goals
40%
Arsenal clean sheet
43%
Hull clean sheet
24%

Form and season so far

ArsenalHull
League position2nd10th
Points (games)18 (7)9 (7)
Goals for / against11 / 58 / 7
xG for / against a game1.71 / 0.790.98 / 1.49
Last fiveWWLWWDDLDL

Team news

From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.

Arsenal
  • Saka: Thigh injury - Unknown return date
  • Tzolis: Hamstring injury - Expected back 1 Nov
  • Hincapie: Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing
Hull
  • Mendy: Groin injury - Expected back 31 Oct
  • Targett: Ankle injury - Unknown return date

Players to watch

The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.

Arsenal

-

On penalties: Saka

Hull

-

On penalties: McBurnie

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Arsenal vs Hull?
The model gives Arsenal a 51% chance, Hull City 22%, and the draw 27%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Hull?
Our pick is Arsenal 1-0. The single likeliest score is 1-0 (15%): even the likeliest exact score happens only rarely.
When is Arsenal vs Hull?
Saturday 7 November at 15:00 UK time, Gameweek 10 of the Premier League.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Hull?
The model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and three or more goals at 40%.

Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.