Arsenal vs Hull Prediction
Premier League · Gameweek 10 · Saturday 7 November · 15:00 UK
Updated twice a day until the gameweek deadline, then locked.
Who will win Arsenal vs Hull?
Our prediction: Arsenal 1-0
Expected goals: Arsenal 1.44, Hull 0.85 (team stats only: the bookmakers had not priced this match yet).
Arsenal host Hull City on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 15:00 UK time. The model makes Arsenal favourites at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Arsenal are 2nd on 18 points and have won 4 of their last 5; Hull are 10th on 9, with 0 wins in their last 5. On the underlying numbers, Arsenal create 1.7 expected goals a game and allow 0.8; Hull create 1.0 and allow 1.5. Hull's goal difference is 5 better than their chances suggest, which usually evens out. Ruled out on FPL's flags: Saka, Tzolis, Mendy, Targett.
Most likely scores
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Arsenal 1-0 Hull | 14.5% |
| Arsenal 1-1 Hull | 12.4% |
| Arsenal 2-0 Hull | 10.4% |
| Arsenal 0-0 Hull | 10.1% |
| Arsenal 2-1 Hull | 8.9% |
| Arsenal 0-1 Hull | 8.6% |
Form and season so far
| Arsenal | Hull | |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 10th |
| Points (games) | 18 (7) | 9 (7) |
| Goals for / against | 11 / 5 | 8 / 7 |
| xG for / against a game | 1.71 / 0.79 | 0.98 / 1.49 |
| Last five | WWLWW | DDLDL |
Team news
From the official FPL game's injury and availability flags. Press conferences may change them.
Players to watch
The model's highest projected Fantasy Premier League scorers in this match.
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On penalties: Saka
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On penalties: McBurnie
Frequently Asked Questions
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Forecasts come from the FPL Dave model: each team's expected goals from its underlying numbers this season (pulled toward the league average while the sample is small), blended with the bookmakers' expected goals when they have priced the match. They are estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice. Results, fixtures, player data and injury flags are from the official Fantasy Premier League game. FPL Dave is independent and not affiliated with the Premier League.