Who has better FPL fixtures — Welbeck or Thiago?

Welbeck (Brighton) has an average FDR of 2.8 over the next 5 games, while Thiago (Brentford) has 3.2. Welbeck has the easier upcoming run.

Welbeck vs Thiago — FPL Comparison

Q: Should I pick Welbeck or Thiago in FPL?

Thiago edges it. With more total points, better value for money, higher xGI, Thiago (153pts, £7.3m) is the stronger pick right now. Welbeck does have better recent form and easier upcoming fixtures, but the overall data favours Thiago for the immediate future.

Forward · Brighton (£6.2m) vs Brentford (£7.3m) · 2025/26

Head-to-Head Stats

Welbeck	Stat	Thiago
106	Total Points	153
£6.2m	Price	£7.3m
5.0	Form	4.0
3.5	PPG	4.9
12	Goals	19
0	Assists	1
10.28	xG	17.54
1.28	xA	1.66
11.56	xGI	19.20
17	Bonus	19
430	BPS	619
1817	Minutes	2652
5.0%	Ownership	36.8%
133.3	ICT Index	214.5
7	Clean Sheets	8
2.8	Avg FDR (next 5)	3.2

Fixture Comparison (Next 5)

Welbeck (BHA)

BURTOTCHENEWWOL

Avg FDR: 2.8

Thiago (BRE)

EVEFULMUNWHUMCI

Avg FDR: 3.2

Value Analysis

Welbeck

Points per million: 17.1

PPG: 3.5

Price: £6.2m

Season points: 106

Thiago

Points per million: 21.0

PPG: 4.9

Price: £7.3m

Season points: 153

Verdict: Welbeck or Thiago?

Thiago edges it. With more total points, better value for money, higher xGI, Thiago (153pts, £7.3m) is the stronger pick right now. Welbeck does have better recent form and easier upcoming fixtures, but the overall data favours Thiago for the immediate future.

Pick Welbeck if: you want better recent form, easier upcoming fixtures and have £6.2m available

Pick Thiago if: you prioritise more total points, better value for money, higher xGI or need to save £-1.1m

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